Work in progress

Figure 2: The overall steps of the technique used in this study.

While this study utilizes a combination of creative-narrative and formalized methods, it predominantly favours a creative-narrative approach for three main reasons.

Figure 2: The overall steps of the technique used in this study. plot image

Figure 3: The three-dimensional future space defined by Society, Geopolitics, and Innovation, showing the positioning of the scenarios w.r.t these key factors.

In the second step, the initial focus was limited to three key uncertainties to develop the narratives and focus areas of the scenarios. The limitation was intended to limit the state space of the possible scenarios, facilitating the group discussions to reach a consensus on the overall picture of the scenarios.

Figure 3: The three-dimensional future space defined by Society, Geopolitics, and Innovation, showing the positioning of the scenarios w.r.t these key factors. plot image

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